Monkeys Fist 45050 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 11 minutes ago, Dougle said: Aye. What film? Lorenzo’s Oil. Been begging the Mrs. to watch it with him for months. The kid dies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monkeys Fist 45050 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 12 minutes ago, Kid Dynamite said: Bayern Munich chucking the title with 1 game left Not a great day for Teutonic teams/managers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
v.old 76 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 It’s simple really. I put a bottle of Veuve into the fridge at half-time thereby bringing about the Firmino substitution and subsequent equaliser. It happens all of the time 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex 36617 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, Gemmill said: They've got two home games, that's all it'll be I think. Their model still giving Chelsea at home more credit than they currently deserve. Aye, I looked a little while back on the bit where you can look at the likelihood of individual results. I think it’ll be the most likely results based on their model is Man Utd picking up 6 points and us picking up 4 (with their analysis having the draw as the most likely at Stamford Bridge). The anomaly with us being more likely to make the CL will be there are marginally more scenarios where LFC catch Man Utd instead of us. Due to the goal difference, as I think you mentioned earlier Edited May 20, 2023 by Alex 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toonpack 11306 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Gemmill said: You want to talk to CT, he gives Liverpool about a 66% chance. GYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Gloom 23516 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Gemmill said: Forest are safe. So it comes down to Everton, Leicester or Leeds. West Ham are safe and will put out the reserves against Leeds so their first team are fresh for the final so you could finally be right about Everton 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monkeys Fist 45050 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 23 minutes ago, Dr Gloom said: West Ham are safe and will put out the reserves against Leeds so their first team are fresh for the final so you could finally be right about Everton There are questions being asked ( rightly), about how a EUFA final is being held in a 19,370 capacity stadium. Apparently each side is only getting 4890 tickets. I predict a spicy night in Prague. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rayvin 5911 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Gemmill said: I think it's unlikely that they go to the trouble of building a statistical model and then allow their projections to be based on the alphabet. Gemmill is correct, Brighton and Villa are on the same points and Brighton are higher. It can't be alphabetical. It looks to me like it considers Man Utd more likely to finish 3rd than us based on games remaining. The infographic isn't solely dedicated to top 4 or not, it also tries to predict league placement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toonpack 11306 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 27 minutes ago, Rayvin said: Gemmill is correct, Brighton and Villa are on the same points and Brighton are higher. It can't be alphabetical. It looks to me like it considers Man Utd more likely to finish 3rd than us based on games remaining. The infographic isn't solely dedicated to top 4 or not, it also tries to predict league placement. Had to happen sometime, broken clock etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monkeys Fist 45050 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 31 minutes ago, Rayvin said: Gemmill is correct, Brighton and Villa are on the same points and Brighton are higher. It can't be alphabetical. It looks to me like it considers Man Utd more likely to finish 3rd than us based on games remaining. The infographic isn't solely dedicated to top 4 or not, it also tries to predict league placement. Aye, but. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rayvin 5911 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 12 minutes ago, Monkeys Fist said: Aye, but. It's a very slow evening for me 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monkeys Fist 45050 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 7 minutes ago, Rayvin said: It's a very slow evening for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobElliott 1789 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 52 minutes ago, Rayvin said: Gemmill is correct, Brighton and Villa are on the same points and Brighton are higher. It can't be alphabetical. It looks to me like it considers Man Utd more likely to finish 3rd than us based on games remaining. The infographic isn't solely dedicated to top 4 or not, it also tries to predict league placement. Sure B comes before V? 😁 Not just a pretty face eh? 🤣 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rayvin 5911 Posted May 20, 2023 Share Posted May 20, 2023 45 minutes ago, RobElliott said: Sure B comes before V? 😁 Not just a pretty face eh? 🤣 This feels like a whoosh on my end but just to be sure, they are of course called Aston Villa mate 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobinRobin 12427 Posted May 21, 2023 Share Posted May 21, 2023 5 hours ago, v.old said: It’s simple really. I put a bottle of Veuve into the fridge at half-time thereby bringing about the Firmino substitution and subsequent equaliser. It happens all of the time 🙂 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobinRobin 12427 Posted May 21, 2023 Share Posted May 21, 2023 9 hours ago, Polarboy said: He gets the ball and then pulls his leg back. You'd think he'd went with a straight leg the way the commentator is slathering on about it. Was someone saying it's Bridges who's commentating; is he a mackem? 9 hours ago, Gemmill said: Played for them but I thought he was actually a Newcastle fan. If so, he must prefer the Europa League for some reason. Heard him interviewed once. He's a Spurs fan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 49640 Posted May 21, 2023 Share Posted May 21, 2023 7 hours ago, Toonpack said: Had to happen sometime, broken clock etc. You need a new obsession, old man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 49640 Posted May 21, 2023 Share Posted May 21, 2023 Calvert-Lewin off injured before half time again today. Leeds have got a massive chance to get ahead of Everton today and stay there. West Ham shouldn't really give a fuck this afternoon, with a European final to focus on, and then Leeds have Spurs at home on the last today, who will wilt in the atmosphere at Elland Road. Everton probably couldn't ask for a better home finish than Bournemouth at home on the last day, but if Leeds get ahead of them today they should be able to beat Spurs and stay there. Howay Sam you big fat cunt, put these down. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobElliott 1789 Posted May 21, 2023 Share Posted May 21, 2023 8 hours ago, Rayvin said: This feels like a whoosh on my end but just to be sure, they are of course called Aston Villa mate Yes that was the self depreciating joke on my end 🤣 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toonpack 11306 Posted May 21, 2023 Share Posted May 21, 2023 3 hours ago, Gemmill said: You need a new obsession, old man. I live, to see the mighty fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrBass 3006 Posted May 21, 2023 Share Posted May 21, 2023 The answer to the placings on the FiveThirtyEight predictions table is actually on the table itself, Newcastle United have a 58% chance of finishing 3rd and a 41% chance of finishing 4th (1% chance of 5th) Manchester Reds have a 42% chance of finishing 3rd and a 54% chance of finishing 4th (3% chance of 5th) So that clears fucking nothing up! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ayatollah Hermione 14618 Posted May 21, 2023 Author Share Posted May 21, 2023 Why not 59% 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meenzer 16388 Posted May 21, 2023 Share Posted May 21, 2023 It's 58% until it becomes 59%. That's how it works 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew 5124 Posted May 21, 2023 Share Posted May 21, 2023 50 minutes ago, Meenzer said: It's 58% until it becomes 59%. That's how it works Its much closer to 59 than it is 58. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kid Dynamite 7594 Posted May 21, 2023 Share Posted May 21, 2023 Everton back in the bottom 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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