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Other Games 22/23

Ayatollah Hermione

By Ayatollah Hermione,
in Newcastle Forum

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Monkeys Fist

Monkeys Fist 45859

Posted
Posted
  On 20/05/2023 at 16:53, Howay said:

Means we can play without pressure and close the next two games out 8-0 and 12-0 on our way to a 75 point season. 

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Eddie casually strolling in to Stamford Bridge having secured the CL place, giving Frank a pre-match lacing with a cue ball in a sock. 
giphy.webp

:lol:

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ewerk

ewerk 33669

Posted
Posted
  On 20/05/2023 at 16:40, Gemmill said:

 

I think that's their projection of final positions.

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So they think that Man U are going to finish above us but they think we’ve got a better chance of making CL? 
 

You’re making a fool of yourself here, stat man.

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Gemmill

Gemmill 51404

Posted
Posted
  On 20/05/2023 at 17:12, ewerk said:


So they think that Man U are going to finish above us but they think we’ve got a better chance of making CL? 
 

You’re making a fool of yourself here, stat man.

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It'll be their goal difference that's causing that. Liverpool finishing on the same points as Man United unquestionably puts Man United 5th. Liverpool finishing on the same points as us doesn't. So there is a wider spread of outcomes for Man United than us.

 

If you had a brain for numbers, you could have worked that out yourself. But sadly, it wasn't to be. It's why you never made it as an accountant.

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ackas

ackas 311

Posted
Posted
  On 20/05/2023 at 17:26, Gemmill said:

 

It'll be their goal difference that's causing that. Liverpool finishing on the same points as Man United unquestionably puts Man United 5th. Liverpool finishing on the same points as us doesn't. So there is a wider spread of outcomes for Man United than us.

 

If you had a brain for numbers, you could have worked that out yourself. But sadly, it wasn't to be. It's why you never made it as an accountant.

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I think giving Liverpool a 4% chance is generous

For them to get in now would mean either we lose both games and they beat Southampton by 5 or 6 goals, or ManU lose both home games against Chelsea and Fulham.

 

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Monkeys Fist

Monkeys Fist 45859

Posted
Posted
  On 20/05/2023 at 17:58, ackas said:

 

I think giving Liverpool a 4% chance is generous

For them to get in now would mean either we lose both games and they beat Southampton by 5 or 6 goals, or ManU lose both home games against Chelsea and Fulham.

 

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Aye, even with 20 minutes added time, no way are they doing it. 

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Renton

Renton 24207

Posted
Posted
  On 20/05/2023 at 17:26, Gemmill said:

 

It'll be their goal difference that's causing that. Liverpool finishing on the same points as Man United unquestionably puts Man United 5th. Liverpool finishing on the same points as us doesn't. So there is a wider spread of outcomes for Man United than us.

 

If you had a brain for numbers, you could have worked that out yourself. But sadly, it wasn't to be. It's why you never made it as an accountant.

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But still, surely we're a better bet for third? We equal what they do, we stay above them. We both play Chelsea, and the state of Leicester it's difficult to imagine a more probable win on Monday. Also ManU games are much closer together. 

I'll be (mildly) disappointed if we don't get third now rbh. 

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Gemmill

Gemmill 51404

Posted
Posted
  On 20/05/2023 at 17:58, ackas said:

 

I think giving Liverpool a 4% chance is generous

For them to get in now would mean either we lose both games and they beat Southampton by 5 or 6 goals, or ManU lose both home games against Chelsea and Fulham.

 

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You want to talk to CT, he gives Liverpool about a 60% chance.

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Gemmill

Gemmill 51404

Posted
Posted
  On 20/05/2023 at 18:07, Renton said:

 

But still, surely we're a better bet for third? We equal what they do, we stay above them. We both play Chelsea, and the state of Leicester it's difficult to imagine a more probable win on Monday. Also ManU games are much closer together. 

I'll be (mildly) disappointed if we don't get third now rbh. 

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They've got two home games, that's all it'll be I think. Their model still giving Chelsea at home more credit than they currently deserve.

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MrBass

MrBass 3076

Posted
Posted
  On 20/05/2023 at 18:14, Gemmill said:

 

I think it's unlikely that they go to the trouble of building a statistical model and then allow their projections to be based on the alphabet. :lol:

 

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Bored Blah Blah Blah GIF

 

Okay then cocky bollocks, why were they above us when they had 2 home & 1

away game remaining and we had the same?

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