Gemmill 46089 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Opta's equivalent. They give us about a 12% chance of finishing outside the top 4. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 46089 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 The Opta one is from before today's game but it won't have changed much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongTimeAdmirer 1286 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Have you learned nothing from your aston villa stats debacle? were finishing in the conference league thanks to you now 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 46089 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 We'll finish 3rd. They can start engraving our bronze medals right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wykikitoon 20802 Posted April 15, 2023 Author Share Posted April 15, 2023 21 minutes ago, LongTimeAdmirer said: Have you learned nothing from your aston villa stats debacle? were finishing in the conference league thanks to you now To go from this morning until the end of the season unbeaten is champions form. We don't have the squad depth for that IMO. We have been superb recently and ridden our luck a couple of times. There was bound to be some bumps along the way and it's a same this one was against them boring cunts. But I would rather we lost against them and beat / get a point v Spurs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spongebob toonpants 4154 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Before this run of 4 games Man U then 3 away in a row I'd gave snapped your hand of for 9 points. Perfect game to bounce back home to Spurs - hopefully St James'ses's will be at its aggressive loudest Big big game 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 46089 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Spurs fans were chanting for Levy Out today and Davison Sanchez had to be subbed off cos his own fans were booing every time he touched the ball. All is not well with that lot, if we can get an early goal and the crowd is up for it, they might fully buckle. Either way, they don't look like putting a run together to end the season on a high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 46089 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 Wait Sanchez was subbed ON at the 35 minute mark and lasted TWENTY THREE minutes before having to be subbed OFF on 58 minutes. Anthony Gordon would have knocked Stellini clean out if he'd done that to him. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Gloom 22185 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 17 minutes ago, Gemmill said: Spurs fans were chanting for Levy Out today and Davison Sanchez had to be subbed off cos his own fans were booing every time he touched the ball. All is not well with that lot, if we can get an early goal and the crowd is up for it, they might fully buckle. Either way, they don't look like putting a run together to end the season on a high. Brighton have looked more of a concern for a while to me. They were robbed against spurs last week. Reckon they’re the real deal and will run us close. The good thing is we play both spurs and Brighton at home. Win those two and we’ve pretty much got champions league Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 46089 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 They're effectively 8 points behind with one game in hand. They're gonna have to put on an incredible run to overhaul is. Three games in a week coming up to get them good and knackered. Them and Man United drawing in the cup would be canny to get more fixtures in for the pair of them. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Gloom 22185 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 16 minutes ago, Gemmill said: They're effectively 8 points behind with one game in hand. They're gonna have to put on an incredible run to overhaul is. Three games in a week coming up to get them good and knackered. Them and Man United drawing in the cup would be canny to get more fixtures in for the pair of them. have you watched them play recently? They’re very good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 46089 Posted April 15, 2023 Share Posted April 15, 2023 2 hours ago, Gemmill said: Opta's equivalent. They give us about a 12% chance of finishing outside the top 4. For this Opta graphic, they run the remaining matches through their model 100,000 times. Which means that on 12,000 of those simulations we finished outside the top 4. Seems a lot doesn't it. We just have to hope we aren't about to live out one of those 12,000 simulations. It could be worse though, the simulations have Arsenal blowing the league on 55,000 of the 100,000 simulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aimaad22 4222 Posted April 16, 2023 Share Posted April 16, 2023 That's the beauty of football and sport though isn't it, come the last few games it could be confidence, momentum, bad luck with injuries etc. that could be the deciding factor. Agree with gloomy on Brighton. Incredibly well run outfit, play good attacking football and can beat anyone on their day. More worried about them than Spurs, as they're well...Spurs. If we beat them next week that could be that for them. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Fish 10972 Posted April 17, 2023 Share Posted April 17, 2023 18 hours ago, aimaad22 said: That's the beauty of football and sport though isn't it, come the last few games it could be confidence, momentum, bad luck with injuries etc. that could be the deciding factor. Agree with gloomy on Brighton. Incredibly well run outfit, play good attacking football and can beat anyone on their day. More worried about them than Spurs, as they're well...Spurs. If we beat them next week that could be that for them. Brighton are definitely more of a threat to us than Spurs are. Spurs are passive, disjointed and they don't look fit, however they do have some exceptional players who can dig them out of trouble from a femto-chance. Brighton, by contrast, are hard-pressing, cohesive and fit as they come. They also have some exceptional players, Mitoma chief amongst them. Trippier would have to be on his game to pocket the lad. I think we've a comparatively easy run in, and this Villa result came at the right time, imo. Should give the boys a rocket up their collective nipsy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ayatollah Hermione 14069 Posted April 17, 2023 Share Posted April 17, 2023 It’s vital that we get a result off Brighton whenever it is we play them. Could be a midweek game sandwiched in between Arsenal and Leeds if they reach the FA Cup final… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Howay 12496 Posted April 17, 2023 Share Posted April 17, 2023 6 minutes ago, Ayatollah Hermione said: It’s vital that we get a result off Brighton whenever it is we play them. Could be a midweek game sandwiched in between Arsenal and Leeds if they reach the FA Cup final… Aye, the fact we are at home against both Spurs and Brighton really puts qualification in our hands. I think we actually stand a decent chance at doing well against Arsenal too as we seem to be in their heads a bit and the pressure is also getting to them now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Gloom 22185 Posted April 18, 2023 Share Posted April 18, 2023 Our remaining fixtures: 5 home games: Spurs, Southampton, Arsenal, Leicester & Brighton. 3 away games: Everton, Leeds & Chelsea We’re on 56 points. What do we need? Another 14? The consensus is 70 points usually guarantees top 4. Beat Spurs, Southampton, Leicester, Leeds. Plus a couple of draws. Feels like we’re almost there if we can forget about the no show at Villa and beat spurs on Sunday. The only anxiety is if that Villa performance weighs on the players and they carry it into the next game. Lose to spurs and the momentum for the run in shifts massively. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ayatollah Hermione 14069 Posted April 18, 2023 Share Posted April 18, 2023 I reckon 4 wins and a couple of draws from the last 8 would see us in at a canter tbh. Especially if 6 of those points are from Spurs and Brighton. If it goes to the last day, Chelsea away is arguably the ideal match. They’re a total shambles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 46089 Posted April 18, 2023 Share Posted April 18, 2023 I reckon 66 points will probably end up being enough. Maybe 68. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Howmanheyman 33916 Posted April 18, 2023 Share Posted April 18, 2023 That Warnock kid on sky thinks we've got a hard run in for the top 4 saying a couple of times we've still got Arsenal and Man City to play. Obviously both times nobody corrected him. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 46089 Posted April 18, 2023 Share Posted April 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, Howmanheyman said: That Warnock kid on sky thinks we've got a hard run in for the top 4 saying a couple of times we've still got Arsenal and Man City to play. Obviously both times nobody corrected him. Him and that stupid lass agreeing that "Yeah villa can catch Newcastle for Champions League" for no other reason than mathematically it's possible. Fuck sake is that really the question you're being asked? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Gloom 22185 Posted April 18, 2023 Share Posted April 18, 2023 (edited) 12 minutes ago, Gemmill said: Him and that stupid lass agreeing that "Yeah villa can catch Newcastle for Champions League" for no other reason than mathematically it's possible. Fuck sake is that really the question you're being asked? If i was a villa fan, i'd be starting to dream after the weekend. they're on a charge Edited April 18, 2023 by Dr Gloom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dougle 3403 Posted April 18, 2023 Share Posted April 18, 2023 5 minutes ago, Dr Gloom said: I was a villa fan, i'd be starting to dream after the weekend. they're on a charge And how long ago did you convert? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Carr's Gloves 3982 Posted April 18, 2023 Share Posted April 18, 2023 6 minutes ago, Dr Gloom said: I was a villa fan, i'd be starting to dream after the weekend. they're on a charge Glad you said that Gloomy mate cos that's thm fucked now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Gloom 22185 Posted April 18, 2023 Share Posted April 18, 2023 1 minute ago, Dougle said: And how long ago did you convert? edited 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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