2024/25 - Generic NUFC Chat. Cunts ☑️

[Toonpack 11413]

Barnes out for yonks, sounds like a metatarsal injury

[wykikitoon 22987]

That's shite, but at least it's in an area where we aren't thin on the ground for.  If it was sext Sven I would be shitting my pants.

[The Fish 11323]

When's big Joe back? I miss him.

[Dr Gloom 23695]

6 minutes ago, wykikitoon said:

That's shite, but at least it's in an area where we aren't thin on the ground for.  If it was sext Sven I would be shitting my pants.

 

agreed. feel sorry for him as he hasn't really got going yet, but we've got Gordon, Isak, Joelinton (when fit again) Murphy and Anderson who can all play wide left. Possibly even Lewis Hall and Almiron too

[Rayvin 5955]

That sucks indeed, he's going to miss loads of CL games. Bet he's gutted.

[Kevin Carr's Gloves 4274]

8 minutes ago, Dr Gloom said:

 

agreed. feel sorry for him as he hasn't really got going yet, but we've got Gordon, Isak, Joelinton (when fit again) Murphy and Anderson who can all play wide left. Possibly even Lewis Hall and Almiron too

Willock too ?

[Howay 12496]

[The Fish 11323]

19 minutes ago, Howay said:

[Sonatine 11933]

[Monkeys Fist 45342]

[Dr Gloom 23695]

[aimaad22 4723]

5 hours ago, Dr Gloom said:

 

agreed. feel sorry for him as he hasn't really got going yet, but we've got Gordon, Isak, Joelinton (when fit again) Murphy and Anderson who can all play wide left. Possibly even Lewis Hall and Almiron too

 

Agree with the point but still feed a quite disappointed about the injury. I think he was very good and very underrated last season, got the ability to make things happen and provide quality in the final third, offers something different to our other wingers. Might have been very handy in the cup games too. But yeah, better this position than others. 

 

Still cant help but be amazed we're one CB injury away from starting Lascelles, surely this will be addressed in January?

[Monkeys Fist 45342]

4 hours ago, Howay said:

Not that it needed it, but this really highlights how inadequate the approach to our commercial side was under Ashley and the Semi-Sentient Hamster. 
 

“ Bung a Sp***s D****t sign on it, sell some hotdogs, boosh.”

 

 

[Dr Gloom 23695]

18 minutes ago, aimaad22 said:

 

Agree with the point but still feed a quite disappointed about the injury. I think he was very good and very underrated last season, got the ability to make things happen and provide quality in the final third, offers something different to our other wingers. Might have been very handy in the cup games too. But yeah, better this position than others. 

 

Still cant help but be amazed we're one CB injury away from starting Lascelles, surely this will be addressed in January?

100% he would have been useful for league and champions league games too because he knows where the back of the net is. Probably the third best finisher in the squad after the two CFs based on what he did for Leicester. Gutted for him.

 

But yeah, we’re well stocked at LW. I would have preferred to sign a new RW, DM or RCB first but I suppose we got him because he was available and affordable. 

[Ayatollah Hermione 14707]

I actually think Anderson is probably the best bet to cover since he has the skills, especially with the way he can carry the ball past people and he has the strength to keep it. Until Joelinton and Willock are back anyway

[Gemmill 50151]

 

Expected points league table shows we "should" be 4th. Brighton, Spurs, Villa, West Ham, all doing better than they "should" - tbf Brighton are owed from last season.

 

Man United should be even worse off than they already are.

[Dr Gloom 23695]

2 minutes ago, Gemmill said:

 

Expected points league table shows we "should" be 4th. Brighton, Spurs, Villa, West Ham, all doing better than they "should" - tbf Brighton are owed from last season.

 

Man United should be even worse off than they already are.

These are the points we should have won if our arsed had remained in place against Liverpool, I presume  

[Howay 12496]

7 hours ago, Gemmill said:

 

Expected points league table shows we "should" be 4th. Brighton, Spurs, Villa, West Ham, all doing better than they "should" - tbf Brighton are owed from last season.

 

Man United should be even worse off than they already are.

Interesting especially given we had statistically the hardest start to the league by a decent margin. 

[RobinRobin 12514]

14 hours ago, Howay said:

[Gemmill 50151]

4 hours ago, Howay said:

Interesting especially given we had statistically the hardest start to the league by a decent margin. 

 

Given your burgeoning reputation as a stats man, here's an article on xP, how it's calculated etc.

 

https://luke-beggs.medium.com/creating-an-expected-points-xp-calculator-for-football-matches-ce4edd18d16f#:~:text=Calculating xP in this basic,then give you the result).

[Gemmill 50151]

In answer to your question, the Liverpool game was a decent part of it. Our xP in that game was 1.93 to their 0.81, but obviously we got 0 and they walked away with 3.

 

https://understat.com/match/22304

 

The stats tab there shows you. If you click on the timing tab and then on Nunez's goals in the time line you can see how absurdly unlikely it was for him to score twice from two shots with a combined xG of 0.36. But that's what the cunt did.

 

[PaddockLad 19052]

14 minutes ago, Gemmill said:

In answer to your question, the Liverpool game was a decent part of it. Our xP in that game was 1.93 to their 0.81, but obviously we got 0 and they walked away with 3.

 

https://understat.com/match/22304

 

The stats tab there shows you. If you click on the timing tab and then on Nunez's goals in the time line you can see how absurdly unlikely it was for him to score twice from two shots with a combined xG of 0.36. But that's what the cunt did.

 

So was it 1.93 at the start, after VVD got sent off, or at the end? It’s got to be at the end iI’d have thought? 🤔

[Andrew 5164]

I figured I'd venture back to podcast land after the 8-0 win and stuck the football ramble on for the first time in a while.

 

Wish I hadnt bothered, they had Sunderland fan david cartlidge on but he was actually alright. I dont think ive heard "newcastle supporter" pete donaldson say anything remotely positive about the club in years though, we won 8-0 and still all he did was fucking moan. 

[Gemmill 50151]

1 hour ago, PaddockLad said:

So was it 1.93 at the start, after VVD got sent off, or at the end? It’s got to be at the end iI’d have thought? 🤔

 

At the end of the game.

 

If you read that article, basically you take all of the shots that each team had and their associated xG and you then run thousands of simulations of the match (up to 100,000).

 

By the time you've done that, you've got a distribution of Newcastle wins, Liverpool wins, and draws.

 

Let's make numbers up, and say it was 60% Newcastle wins, 10% draws and 30% Liverpool wins.

 

So Newcastle's expected points would be (60% * 3) + (10% * 1) = 1.9 points.

[PaddockLad 19052]

That’s great thanks, and one in the eye for the dozens of TT punters who cheerfully commented that they thought Liverpool should have and actually deserved to win after the game