Gemmill 44853 Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/trump-harris-polls/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/ Two poll aggregators. The economist one has a prediction model too which has shifted back to giving Harris a 60% chance. Still dead close, and it's the swing states that count but there's been a marked shift since the debate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig 6682 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 It'll come down to Pennsylvania IMO. Whoever wins that will be getting the keys to the White House. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Renton 21614 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 2 minutes ago, Craig said: It'll come down to Pennsylvania IMO. Whoever wins that will be getting the keys to the White House. I think the republicans definitely need it but hope somehow the Democrats can win without it. Such a weird heterogeneous state with a major modern city in Philadelphia, rust belt city in Pittsburgh, surrounded by rural Hill Billies and 18th century Dutch christians. I don't trust it remotely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig 6682 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Just now, Renton said: I think the republicans definitely need it but hope somehow the Democrats can win without it. Such a weird heterogeneous state with a major modern city in Philadelphia, rust belt city in Pittsburgh, surrounded by rural Hill Billies and 18th century Dutch christians. I don't trust it remotely. They 'can' win without it, but I don't think they will. To win without it they'll need to pretty much take every other swing state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 44853 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Harris +5 in Pennsylvania and Michigan in two new polls. Obviously it's only one poll in each state, but it's indicative of the wider trend since the debate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Renton 21614 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 6 minutes ago, Craig said: They 'can' win without it, but I don't think they will. To win without it they'll need to pretty much take every other swing state. You're probably right. There are 19 electoral votes in PA which is a swing total of 38. But I think Biden won by a margin of 74 in 2020. I do think it is more important for the Republicans than the Democrats but yes, will likely be crucial to both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Renton 21614 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 2 minutes ago, Gemmill said: Harris +5 in Pennsylvania and Michigan in two new polls. Obviously it's only one poll in each state, but it's indicative of the wider trend since the debate. But what about the latest assassination attempt? Although tbf, that has dropped off the news agenda pretty quickly, at least internationally speaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 44853 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 3 minutes ago, Renton said: But what about the latest assassination attempt? Although tbf, that has dropped off the news agenda pretty quickly, at least internationally speaking. It did fuck all for him last time, and he doesn't have the photo op this time either. Anyway, undecided voters aren't gonna go "wow another attempt on Trump. I better vote for him." People are bored of it, I reckon. Can you imagine having to watch the news that day. The endless stories of a rifle barrel poking through a bush, without even the payoff of a shot being fired or a photo of the prick punching the air. That second attempt will change even less than the first one did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dazzler 9742 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 3 minutes ago, Renton said: But what about the latest assassination attempt? Although tbf, that has dropped off the news agenda pretty quickly, at least internationally speaking. I think there may be a general feeling of "he's fucking staged this one, hasn't he lads?" because it seems to have fallen off a cliff edge. The power of diminishing returns, at some point someone trying to shoot Trump becomes the norm and no-one gives a shit anymore. I just wish it wasn't half blind simpletons attempting it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Renton 21614 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 I think YOU GUYS are right. I'm broadly optimistic about the American Election as I just can't see any independent looking at him and thinking "yeah, he's my choice". Also the federal reserve put down interest rates yesterday just in time for a feel good factor pay day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 44853 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 1 minute ago, Renton said: I think YOU GUYS are right. I'm broadly optimistic about the American Election as I just can't see any independent looking at him and thinking "yeah, he's my choice". Also the federal reserve put down interest rates yesterday just in time for a feel good factor pay day. Do you listen to the News Agents America, Rents? And if so, do you find them weirdly gushing about Trump? The episode this week about how him ranting about people eating pets, and their claim that this has been a really clever and good move by Trump cos it's focused minds on immigration!? The polls are shifting markedly in Harris's favour, and yet these two are like "wow check out the big brain on Donald!" I find their thirst for drama, particularly when it comes to Trump, takes them down some odd paths at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig 6682 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 11 minutes ago, Renton said: But what about the latest assassination attempt? Although tbf, that has dropped off the news agenda pretty quickly, at least internationally speaking. You forget the inverted commas around assassination attempt. It was fucking nonsense, man. He lost the debate and was scrabbling for sympathy / attention. Thankfully most seem to have seen right through it. Only 7 weeks of this charade left. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex 35077 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/?cid=rrpromo Last time I looked at that (about a week or two back) it was much closer. Something like 53 / 47 in favour of Harris. Still not exactly home and hosed. It’s fucking insane it’s even close after the way he behaved the last time, especially in relation to his attempt to stay in power after losing the election. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monkeys Fist 42413 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 11 hours ago, Dazzler said: I think there may be a general feeling of "he's fucking staged this one, hasn't he lads? I think there’s a very strong case that first one was too. Fully agree with this too 11 hours ago, Dazzler said: no-one gives a shit anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaddockLad 17246 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 US is fucked whatever happens. People are desperate to be fuckin lied to on a scale that is barely comprehensible 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dazzler 9742 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohhh_yeah 2964 Posted October 1 Share Posted October 1 A 43 ft. statue depicting a naked Donald has been spotted in Nevada. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobinRobin 11263 Posted October 2 Share Posted October 2 4 hours ago, ohhh_yeah said: A 43 ft. statue depicting a naked Donald has been spotted in Nevada. Considerably too much pixelation for that to be realistic. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ewerk 30598 Posted October 4 Share Posted October 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 44853 Posted October 4 Share Posted October 4 Not on twitter so can't read this unfortunately, but I just find it hard to believe this will matter. If you don't believe by now that what Trump did on Jan 6th was illegal and disqualifying, you never will. The polls appear to be tightening too which is just absurd. America can just fuck right off that it's even this close. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 44853 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaddockLad 17246 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 20 minutes ago, Gemmill said: She’s great but imagine being married to her? 😆 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 44853 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 36 minutes ago, PaddockLad said: She’s great but imagine being married to her? 😆 Cant speak with your mouth full. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monkeys Fist 42413 Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 3 hours ago, Gemmill said: Cant speak with your mouth full. Is she a prolific home cook? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Renton 21614 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 US politics today. Marjorie Taylor Greene claims hurricane Milton was geoengineered to influence or stop Trump voters. Why doesn't someone take her out with a Jewish space laser? https://www.wired.com/story/hurricane-milton-geoengineer-lasers-fema-conspiracy-theories-debunk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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