Gemmill 44864 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Gloom: Dulwich and West Norwood Rayvin: Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale PaddockLad: Poole NJS: Chelmsford Meenzer: North West Cambridgeshire Me and Alex: Cramlington and Killingworth Sonatine: City of Durham Holden: East Worthing and Shoreham KCG: East Kilbride and Strathaven Renton: Tynemouth wykiki: Leeds North East brokendoll: Monmouth Billy Whitehurst: Chelsea and Fulham spongebob: Hove and Portslade Dazzler: Newcastle Central and West The Fish: Cheadle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 44864 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 4 minutes ago, Alex said: Same as your good self Added! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Renton 21621 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 I've got one of these printed. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 44864 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Red bingo dobber on each of their foreheads as the night plays out hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Renton 21621 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Haven't voted yet. Was going to go Labour but not so sure now with the prospect of rampant wokery and net zero mania? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 44864 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 It almost sounds like an inducement to vote Farage. "Get them" could be interpreted as "I'm gonna fucking GET you!". Would be canny if the Mail has just sent all of its robots out to accidentally end the Tories. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 44864 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 The meltdown on the right is underway. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Renton 21621 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 11 minutes ago, Gemmill said: It almost sounds like an inducement to vote Farage. "Get them" could be interpreted as "I'm gonna fucking GET you!". Would be canny if the Mail has just sent all of its robots out to accidentally end the Tories. Yeah, I thought it was ambiguous too, the absolute whoppers they are. Think Poitics JOE released this at the start of the campaign, but seems even more apt now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJS 4379 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 1 hour ago, Gemmill said: Added to the top. Looks like one of the too close to call seats - you're one of the 130k voters Sunak has been appealing to. I'm pleased to hear you intend to disappoint him. I got a "personalised" letter from the sitting cunt claiming credit for the new train station which was first proposed in 98 and asking me to remember what a nightmare life was under new labour. As you know I'm not NL's biggest fan but nightmare is a bit strong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 44864 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Apparently Tory internal polling shows them confident of holding 80 seats with another 60 in play. So if that's to be believed, they think their absolute ceiling is 140 seats. The final MRPs were all coalescing around 110 to 120ish yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wykikitoon 20129 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 5 minutes ago, Gemmill said: The meltdown on the right is underway. Morley is a fucking SHIT HEAP 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 44864 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 2 minutes ago, wykikitoon said: Morley is a fucking SHIT HEAP The Yorkshire Tourist Board has spoken. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Renton 21621 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 3 minutes ago, Gemmill said: Apparently Tory internal polling shows them confident of holding 80 seats with another 60 in play. So if that's to be believed, they think their absolute ceiling is 140 seats. The final MRPs were all coalescing around 110 to 120ish yesterday. I guess turnout and the undecided are the unknown factors here. Purely my opinion, but I think turnout will be okay and I don't think that many people will be thinking last minute "another 5 years of this please". So I am hoping for the lower margin but as you said yesterday, anyhtingin that range is an amazing night considering where we were 3 years ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holden McGroin 6583 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 When do the first results come out? If I remember correctly it’s some sort of mackem constituency (begging to be relevant) that always comes out first? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex 35079 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 7 minutes ago, wykikitoon said: Morley is a fucking SHIT HEAP Went to the Orbit there a couple of times back in the day. Didn’t see Kes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 44864 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Just now, Holden McGroin said: When do the first results come out? If I remember correctly it’s some sort of mackem constituency (begging to be relevant) that always comes out first? Around midnight. Possibly a bit before. Although I'm sure I read somewhere that council cuts have meant that the Sunderland and Newcastle speed-counts are not likely to be as speedy this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 44864 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 First "big name" result is Richard Holden at Billericay, which I think is due around half past midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex 35079 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Just now, Holden McGroin said: When do the first results come out? If I remember correctly it’s some sort of mackem constituency (begging to be relevant) that always comes out first? Actually Newcastle Central is a race with them (and beat them last time round iirc). But you won’t really know if the exit polls are looking right until about 3-4am when they start rolling in. Although earlier results will be a good indication of any swings from the last election Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strawb 4248 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Gorton and Denton here, deffo going to be held by labour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 44864 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 This is a week or so old, but it reckons Labour could hit the magical 326 at around 4 to 4:30am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 44864 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 8 minutes ago, Renton said: I guess turnout and the undecided are the unknown factors here. Purely my opinion, but I think turnout will be okay and I don't think that many people will be thinking last minute "another 5 years of this please". So I am hoping for the lower margin but as you said yesterday, anyhtingin that range is an amazing night considering where we were 3 years ago. There's been a lot of chat about turnout, and a lot of OMG only x% of 18 to 34 year olds even plan to vote....again trying to make out how much of a turnoff Starmer is. Every time I've seen it posted, one of the polling meganerds has replied "well that would be the highest proportion of that age group since X". The one thing I've seen is a comparison of people saying they were 10/10 to vote vs actual turnout, compared back over the last 6 or 7 elections, and the 10/10 figure for this election would suggest a slightly lower turnout this time around. We'll see though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Renton 21621 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 1 minute ago, Gemmill said: This is a week or so old, but it reckons Labour could hit the magical 326 at around 4 to 4:30am. That graph is truly a thing of beauty. Labour slaughtering the tories at every stage of the night. I plan to make it until 2am and then will probably flake out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ewerk 30602 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 10 minutes ago, Holden McGroin said: When do the first results come out? If I remember correctly it’s some sort of mackem constituency (begging to be relevant) that always comes out first? 21 hours ago, ewerk said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wykikitoon 20129 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 12 minutes ago, Alex said: Went to the Orbit there a couple of times back in the day. Didn’t see Kes 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holden McGroin 6583 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 I think I'll have an early night then wake up with an Erection. YES, thats correct. An erection over the election. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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