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Europe --- In or Out


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Surely there's just no way Theresa May is going to do that? I have no great love of bankers but what we're talking about here would be devastating to an industry that we've just spent the last 8 years in austerity to try and save ffs.

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If that's true about Hammond that sums up a lot of what is so shit about politics, i.e. willing to potentially wreak financial havoc just to win an election. Which is what got us here in the first place I suppose.

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Surely there's just no way Theresa May is going to do that? I have no great love of bankers but what we're talking about here would be devastating to an industry that we've just spent the last 8 years in austerity to try and save ffs.

Doest the article say Moody's reckon it won't be devastating? Surely at the worst they'll just set up satellite offices in Ireland and the like.

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Doest the article say Moody's reckon it won't be devastating? Surely at the worst they'll just set up satellite offices in Ireland and the like.

 

It's the principle though. The whole country was leveraged against saving the banks and ensuring London remained the financial centre of the world. Anything we do here to make it more difficult for our banks will mean that this privileged status will end.

 

Yes they'll be able to continue trading - although I do wonder how long it will take them to just decide that they'd be better off overseas anyway.

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as much as we might complain about the UK economy being dominated by financial services and the destruction of traditional industries, we'd be fucked without the city. 

 

i'm in favour of rebalancing the economy, but it has to be a slow evolutionary process. you can't underestimate the damage that leaving the single market would have, from the banking passporting privilege that we would lose, alone. 

 

which is why i don't think it will happen. i still can't see any outcome but brexit-lite - with some kind of fudged deal over an emergency brake on immigration. hard brexit is in no one's best interests. 

Edited by Dr Gloom
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It's the principle though. The whole country was leveraged against saving the banks and ensuring London remained the financial centre of the world. Anything we do here to make it more difficult for our banks will mean that this privileged status will end.

 

Yes they'll be able to continue trading - although I do wonder how long it will take them to just decide that they'd be better off overseas anyway.

It won't happen. Just the latest scare story.

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Give over man, the only thing that ties them to London is it being financially beneficial for them statying there. If Frankfurt becomes a better option, they'll gradually leave and go there.

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Give over man, the only thing that ties them to London is it being financially beneficial for them statying there. If Frankfurt becomes a better option, they'll gradually leave and go there.

 

what about the stuff? 

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Give over man, the only thing that ties them to London is it being financially beneficial for them statying there. If Frankfurt becomes a better option, they'll gradually leave and go there.

It won't happen man. None of these big bankers want to uproot, leave the private clubs, take the kids out of Eton and go to Frankfurt.

 

We heard all the same patter when we refused to join the Euro.

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It won't happen man. None of these big bankers want to uproot, leave the private clubs, take the kids out of Eton and go to Frankfurt.

 

We heard all the same patter when we refused to join the Euro.

 

For every one of what you classify as a big banker, there are 10 middle office/back office/support staff. It will start with these roles first (many of banks had already relocated certain support staff to Eastern Europe/India etc prior to Brexit). These jobs will be first to be relocated to within the EU (including the middle and back office jobs which probably can't be relocated to Eastern Europe/India). While these are not the best paid banking jobs, they are still paid a lot more than most professions so this will result in a fair amount of lost income tax. Furthermore, the loss of these roles will have a knock on effect on the industries supporting them (professional services, IT, childcare, bars and restaurants, cabbies etc) so the impact will be multiplied.

 

If the Tories go for the hard Brexit option and prioritise immigration controls over access to the single market then that will have a major impact on the city and lot of jobs reliant on it. In addition, the curbs on immigration will adversely impact the economy as immigrants are net contributors to the economy.

 

The country could end up going backwards all because a few out of touch, racist (let's call a spade a spade) old duffers in the Tory party can't stand the fact that immigration enrichs our country.

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