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The run in...


Deano
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32 Games gone, 14 to go, 6 at home and 8 away...we stand on 66 points but how many more do we need and where are they going to come from?

 

Watford (A)...Win...3

Barnsley (H)...Win...3

Boro (A)...Draw...1

Scunthorpe (H)...Win...3

Bristol City (A)...Draw...1

Doncaster (A)...Lose...0

Forest (H)...Win...3

Peterborough (A)...Win...3

Sheff Utd (H)...Win...3

Blackpool (H)...Win...3

Reading (A)...Lose...0

Plymouth (A)...Win...3

Ipswich (H)...Win...3

QPR (A)...Win...3

 

18 Points at Home

14 Points Away

 

98 Points in total :(

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watford A........draw 1

barnsley h.......win ..3

boro a.............draw 1

scunthorpe..h...win...3

bristol c a.........lose..0

doncaster a......draw 1

forest h............draw.1

peterb a...........win...3

sheff u h...........win..3

blackpool..h......win...3

reading a..........lose..0

plymouth a........draw.1

ipswich h..........win....3

qpr..a..............draw...1

 

24 points...........90 points total.......2nd place promotion.........

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Watford (A)...Draw...1

Barnsley (H)...Win...3

Boro (A)...Draw...1

Scunthorpe (H)...Win...3

Bristol City (A)...Draw...1

Doncaster (A)...Draw...1

Forest (H)...Win...3

Peterborough (A)...Draw...1

Sheff Utd (H)...Win...3

Blackpool (H)...Win...3

Reading (A)...Draw...1

Plymouth (A)...Draw...1

Ipswich (H)...Win...3

QPR (A)...Draw...1

 

looks weird when put like that (home = win, away = draw) but if I was talking every game in its own right thats what I would predict

 

so

 

home = 18

away = 8

 

so 26 + 66 = 92

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Forests remaining fixtures:

 

Sat 27 15:00 A Leicester City FLC Draw

Sat 6 15:00 H Swansea City FLC Win

Sat 13 15:00 A Preston FLC Win

Tue 16 19:45 A Barnsley FLC Draw

Sat 20 15:00 H Peterborough FLC Win

Tue 23 19:45 H Crystal Palace FLC Win

Mon 29 19:45 A Newcastle FLC Draw

Sat 3 15:00 A Bristol City FLC Draw

Mon 5 17:15 H Cardiff City FLC Win

Sat 10 15:00 H Ipswich Town FLC Win

Sat 17 15:00 A Blackpool FLC Draw

Sat 24 15:00 H Plymouth FLC Win

May

Sun 2 13:00 A Scunthorpe FLC Win

 

I reckon 28 more points for them. Meaning 24 would see us up.

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Watford (A)...Win...3

Barnsley (H)...Draw...1

Boro (A)...Lose...0

Scunthorpe (H)...Win...3

Bristol City (A)...Lose...0

Doncaster (A)...Win...3

Forest (H)...Draw...1

Peterborough (A)...Win...3

Sheff Utd (H)...Draw...1

Blackpool (H)...Win...3

Reading (A)...Draw...1

Plymouth (A)...Draw...1

Ipswich (H)...Win...3

QPR (A)...Win...3

 

29pts.

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Smoggie & Andrew have Forest and ourseles not losing another game this season. Possible, but I reckon there'll be another push from promotion team. I reckon Bristol and Boro could beat us.

 

I dont actually think we'll do that though, just looking at each game seperately they are what I would pick

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last 10 years 3rd place points totals:

 

08/09 Sheff Utd 80

07/08 Hull 75

06/07 Derby 84

05/06 Watford 81

04/05 Ipswich 85

03/04 Sunderland 79

02/03 Sheff Utd 80

01/02 Wolves 86

00/01 Bolton 87

99/00 Ipswich 87

Edited by PaddockLad
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I've no doubt we'll lose again this season, though i do think we have a great chance of going the whole season unbeaten at home, but i'm also exteremely confident of us finishing first and at worst second as we are the most effective team in this division. Not the best footballing team, may not end up top scorers but we're top on points and i think we'll end there.

 

Forest will lose more games away from home now that their unbeaten run has come to an end, though they're looking good at home and West Brom always look capable of a sudden defeat following a really good result, plus they have an FA cup game to fit in and a replay in that would start some fixture trouble.

 

No idea what will happen in each of the individual fixtures listed but i'm going to take a shot at us being unbeaten at home all season, and maybe 2 more away defeats, at worst 3.

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last 10 years 3rd place points totals:

 

08/09 Sheff Utd 80

07/08 Hull 75

06/07 Derby 84

05/06 Watford 81

04/05 Ipswich 85

03/04 Sunderland 79

02/03 Sheff Utd 80

01/02 Wolves 86

00/01 Bolton 87

99/00 Ipswich 87

That's good to know. I'm fairly confident we'll get 90 points barring a major wobble.

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I've no doubt we'll lose again this season, though i do think we have a great chance of going the whole season unbeaten at home, but i'm also exteremely confident of us finishing first and at worst second as we are the most effective team in this division. Not the best footballing team, may not end up top scorers but we're top on points and i think we'll end there.

 

Forest will lose more games away from home now that their unbeaten run has come to an end, though they're looking good at home and West Brom always look capable of a sudden defeat following a really good result, plus they have an FA cup game to fit in and a replay in that would start some fixture trouble.

No idea what will happen in each of the individual fixtures listed but i'm going to take a shot at us being unbeaten at home all season, and maybe 2 more away defeats, at worst 3.

 

This is what I'm hoping fucks them up a bit. I don't know how large their squad is but ours is relatively threadbare and not having any cup games will be a blessing in the final stretch IMO.

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we're now effectively 3 games clear with 14 to play....................

 

3 points, surely?? :(

 

 

Well if we win our game in hand that’s 8 points clear. which is effectively 3 games. :)

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we're now effectively 3 games clear with 14 to play....................

 

3 points, surely?? :(

 

 

Well if we win our game in hand that’s 8 points clear. which is effectively 3 games. :)

 

And if WBA win theirs we're only 6 points clear of them - two games, not three ;)

 

(admittedly when I made the previous post, I'd not considered we had a game in hand too ;))

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we're now effectively 3 games clear with 14 to play....................

 

3 points, surely?? :(

 

 

Well if we win our game in hand that’s 8 points clear. which is effectively 3 games. :)

 

And if WBA win theirs we're only 6 points clear of them - two games, not three ;)

 

(admittedly when I made the previous post, I'd not considered we had a game in hand too ;))

 

I think he meant of Forest as in clear of 3rd place.

Edited by Flair
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