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Keith Harris: Club may be sold this month, but not by our first game


Amir
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The cold hard facts are: Ashley wants £100million for the club, £100million back that he loaned the club, and we owe £40million to the bank.

 

You could buy all but 4 or 5 premierleague clubs for less than half of that so who in their right fucking mind is going to pay £240million for a Championship club with no manager, no decent players and a season of negative equity looming!?

 

Its fucking crazy, hed have a job on giving the club away at the minute!

 

Good analysis

 

A pertinent point precisely posited

I thought we were better off (in a financial sense) though :jesuswept:

 

It sounds about right, even without the £40m debt he still wants his £100m loan back which still means we'd cost someone £200m eventually - nobody in their right mind would take that on would they?

 

Thing is I don't see what he's got to gain by keeping hold of us, I mean it's only going to get worse and mean we're all the more of an unattractive prospect. His best bet would be to cut his losses and near give us away because he'll never get what he wants for us, all he will get is bills for upkeep and wages until it comes to a point where he decides to close the business.

 

Basically I think it's looking like he's just going to run us in to the ground because let's face it, why should he care if he destroys the club, it's just something he bought on a whim.

Edited by Armchair Penis
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If he can't sell the club now surely it's worth a promotion bid?

I think he thinks we'll come up with that squad. I honestly think he's that out of touch.

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http://www.footballeconomy.com/

 

Interesting piece

 

VULTURES CIRCLE NEWCASTLE – 3/8/09

 

At a time when football fans are mourning the death of the gentleman giant Bobby Robson, it is sad to see the state of Newcastle United. Of 30 clubs relegated since the Premiership was founded in 1992-3, only 13 have rebounded straight back and some like Leeds United have fallen even lower. With their ownership unresolved, the Magpies are not well set up to face the season. Despite the fanaticism of many of their supporters, disillusionment has hit season ticket sales. Now restructuring firms are said to be hovering round the club. Sources close to owner Mike Ashley have emphatically denied that he will put the club into administration and incur a ten point penalty, even though it would bring tax advantages for his businesses. Ashley is believed to be offering loans of up to £40m for a buyer to take the club off his hands before the start of the season. It is understood that talks are being held with a Middle East consortium, but any deal is expected to fall short of Ashley's £100m asking price. Payments may be made in stages depending on how the team performs. As Ashley himself has admitted, his takeover has been catastrophic for everyone involved, not least the fans.

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If he can't sell the club now surely it's worth a promotion bid?

I think he thinks we'll come up with that squad. I honestly think he's that out of touch.

 

More thinking than I'd expect from you on a Tuesday afternoon.

 

fwiw I reckon if we're not sold by the close of the window we won't be this season. I'd also expect an exodus at Christmas while we're languishing just below midtable.

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Lets hope not. Without a proper manager and some leadership it's palpable that we could go down again!

 

I don't see why he can't give a manager the season and a modest transfer budget in order to get us back up, thus increasing his chances of making some money back.

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Has that even been mentioned anywhere else? Sounds like it could be completely made up. Other than that it's more of an unenlightened paragraph iyam. Sorry if it's your site your plugging.

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If he can't sell the club now surely it's worth a promotion bid?

I think he thinks we'll come up with that squad. I honestly think he's that out of touch.

 

More thinking than I'd expect from you on a Tuesday afternoon.

 

fwiw I reckon if we're not sold by the close of the window we won't be this season. I'd also expect an exodus at Christmas while we're languishing just below midtable.

Don't worry, I formulated that theory over drinks on Sunday. No thinking today thanks.

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The cold hard facts are: Ashley wants £100million for the club, £100million back that he loaned the club, and we owe £40million to the bank.

 

You could buy all but 4 or 5 premierleague clubs for less than half of that so who in their right fucking mind is going to pay £240million for a Championship club with no manager, no decent players and a season of negative equity looming!?

 

Its fucking crazy, hed have a job on giving the club away at the minute!

 

Good analysis

 

A pertinent point precisely posited

I thought we were better off (in a financial sense) though :jesuswept:

 

We are

 

The debt is now the problem of the person it's owed to

 

Under Shepherd / Hall, when we finally reached the point we couldn't service the debt, one of the creditors would have foreclosed and we'd have gone down the administration route

 

Under Ashley, that won't happen - it simply means that his shares are worth a lot less than he thought when he bought them. One day he will realise and accept this. Hopefully before he has finished completely fucking the club.

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I think Ashley wants to destroy us. He is petulant child/ruthless businessman. It was all fun and games until we turned on him (remember that bleeding heart press release after Keegangate?). Now I think he has genuine dislike for the fans that rejected him so publically and as such is doubtless enjoying toying with us. If he is going to lose loads of money anyway then he may as well enjoy his spite.

 

I am afraid I can only see things getting worse.

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If he can't sell the club now surely it's worth a promotion bid?

I think he thinks we'll come up with that squad. I honestly think he's that out of touch.

 

More thinking than I'd expect from you on a Tuesday afternoon.

 

fwiw I reckon if we're not sold by the close of the window we won't be this season. I'd also expect an exodus at Christmas while we're languishing just below midtable.

Don't worry, I formulated that theory over drinks on Sunday. No thinking today thanks.

 

That would have been the case if we hadnt had an overdraft however the £40m owing to Barclays could be recalled any time they like. Even if they dont recall it immediately, they could stop us increasing the amount. Also we dont know who else hasnt been paid, has the taxman been getting his PAYE?

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The cold hard facts are: Ashley wants £100million for the club, £100million back that he loaned the club, and we owe £40million to the bank.

 

You could buy all but 4 or 5 premierleague clubs for less than half of that so who in their right fucking mind is going to pay £240million for a Championship club with no manager, no decent players and a season of negative equity looming!?

 

Its fucking crazy, hed have a job on giving the club away at the minute!

 

Good analysis

 

A pertinent point precisely posited

I thought we were better off (in a financial sense) though :jesuswept:

 

We are

 

The debt is now the problem of the person it's owed to

 

Under Shepherd / Hall, when we finally reached the point we couldn't service the debt, one of the creditors would have foreclosed and we'd have gone down the administration route

 

Under Ashley, that won't happen - it simply means that his shares are worth a lot less than he thought when he bought them. One day he will realise and accept this. Hopefully before he has finished completely fucking the club.

Seems to be ascribing him a larger degree of logic than he's appeared capable of so far. Anyway, I still feel that oversimplifies matters given we're a league worse off with a massive wage bill. It also seems to assume any steps the previous regime might have taken in order to correct the problem would have been as catastrophic as the ones Ashley has taken.

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The cold hard facts are: Ashley wants £100million for the club, £100million back that he loaned the club, and we owe £40million to the bank.

 

You could buy all but 4 or 5 premierleague clubs for less than half of that so who in their right fucking mind is going to pay £240million for a Championship club with no manager, no decent players and a season of negative equity looming!?

 

Its fucking crazy, hed have a job on giving the club away at the minute!

 

Good analysis

 

A pertinent point precisely posited

I thought we were better off (in a financial sense) though :jesuswept:

 

We are

 

The debt is now the problem of the person it's owed to

 

Under Shepherd / Hall, when we finally reached the point we couldn't service the debt, one of the creditors would have foreclosed and we'd have gone down the administration route

 

Under Ashley, that won't happen - it simply means that his shares are worth a lot less than he thought when he bought them. One day he will realise and accept this. Hopefully before he has finished completely fucking the club.

Seems to be ascribing him a larger degree of logic than he's appeared capable of so far. Anyway, I still feel that oversimplifies matters given we're a league worse off with a massive wage bill. It also seems to assume any steps the previous regime might have taken in order to correct the problem would have been as catastrophic as the ones Ashley has taken.

 

The only step the previous regime could have taken would have been to use some of the huge piles of cash they took out of the club to pay down the debts and so get the club somewhere closer towards being able to live within its means

 

Chances of them ever doing that? Zero.

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Has that even been mentioned anywhere else? Sounds like it could be completely made up. Other than that it's more of an unenlightened paragraph iyam. Sorry if it's your site your plugging.

 

Not my site, mate.

 

Just looking for hope.

 

Whats "iyam" by the way?

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The cold hard facts are: Ashley wants £100million for the club, £100million back that he loaned the club, and we owe £40million to the bank.

 

You could buy all but 4 or 5 premierleague clubs for less than half of that so who in their right fucking mind is going to pay £240million for a Championship club with no manager, no decent players and a season of negative equity looming!?

 

Its fucking crazy, hed have a job on giving the club away at the minute!

 

Good analysis

 

A pertinent point precisely posited

I thought we were better off (in a financial sense) though :jesuswept:

 

We are

 

The debt is now the problem of the person it's owed to

 

Under Shepherd / Hall, when we finally reached the point we couldn't service the debt, one of the creditors would have foreclosed and we'd have gone down the administration route

 

Under Ashley, that won't happen - it simply means that his shares are worth a lot less than he thought when he bought them. One day he will realise and accept this. Hopefully before he has finished completely fucking the club.

Seems to be ascribing him a larger degree of logic than he's appeared capable of so far. Anyway, I still feel that oversimplifies matters given we're a league worse off with a massive wage bill. It also seems to assume any steps the previous regime might have taken in order to correct the problem would have been as catastrophic as the ones Ashley has taken.

 

The only step the previous regime could have taken would have been to use some of the huge piles of cash they took out of the club to pay down the debts and so get the club somewhere closer towards being able to live within its means

 

Chances of them ever doing that? Zero.

Ignoring what might or might not have happened then, the bit about the debt doesn't take into consideration the fallout from relegation in financial terms. TV money, gate receipts/ST sales / corporate entertainment etc.

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Has that even been mentioned anywhere else? Sounds like it could be completely made up. Other than that it's more of an unenlightened paragraph iyam. Sorry if it's your site your plugging.

 

Not my site, mate.

 

Just looking for hope.

 

Whats "iyam" by the way?

If you ask me. It just doesn't say much new. The loan bit is interesting I suppose but what's the source? I'm cynical to the point where I assume anything positive is made up unless it's backed up.

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I think Ashley wants to destroy us. He is petulant child/ruthless businessman. It was all fun and games until we turned on him (remember that bleeding heart press release after Keegangate?). Now I think he has genuine dislike for the fans that rejected him so publically and as such is doubtless enjoying toying with us. If he is going to lose loads of money anyway then he may as well enjoy his spite.

 

I am afraid I can only see things getting worse.

 

Do you think it was us sending the Jehovah's witnesses round at 6am on a Sunday morning that tipped him over the edge ?

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Has that even been mentioned anywhere else? Sounds like it could be completely made up. Other than that it's more of an unenlightened paragraph iyam. Sorry if it's your site your plugging.

 

Not my site, mate.

 

Just looking for hope.

 

Whats "iyam" by the way?

If you ask me. It just doesn't say much new. The loan bit is interesting I suppose but what's the source? I'm cynical to the point where I assume anything positive is made up unless it's backed up.

 

tbf that is not cynical these days. Realistic.

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Has that even been mentioned anywhere else? Sounds like it could be completely made up. Other than that it's more of an unenlightened paragraph iyam. Sorry if it's your site your plugging.

 

Not my site, mate.

 

Just looking for hope.

 

Whats "iyam" by the way?

If you ask me. It just doesn't say much new. The loan bit is interesting I suppose but what's the source? I'm cynical to the point where I assume anything positive is made up unless it's backed up.

 

It balances up with something I was told last night that someone is looking at getting in without paying anything yet. Paying him off through player sales and agreed structured payments going forwards. Just to get him out and put some structure back in the club.

 

I'd certainly take a year of restructure. Staying in the Championship and blooding a few of the very promising kids.

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I think Ashley wants to destroy us. He is petulant child/ruthless businessman. It was all fun and games until we turned on him (remember that bleeding heart press release after Keegangate?). Now I think he has genuine dislike for the fans that rejected him so publically and as such is doubtless enjoying toying with us. If he is going to lose loads of money anyway then he may as well enjoy his spite.

 

I am afraid I can only see things getting worse.

 

Do you think it was us sending the Jehovah's witnesses round at 6am on a Sunday morning that tipped him over the edge ?

 

Mujahideen unavailable then?

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I think Ashley wants to destroy us. He is petulant child/ruthless businessman. It was all fun and games until we turned on him (remember that bleeding heart press release after Keegangate?). Now I think he has genuine dislike for the fans that rejected him so publically and as such is doubtless enjoying toying with us. If he is going to lose loads of money anyway then he may as well enjoy his spite.

 

I am afraid I can only see things getting worse.

 

Do you think it was us sending the Jehovah's witnesses round at 6am on a Sunday morning that tipped him over the edge ?

 

Fuck, I'd completely forgotten I'd done that.... :jesuswept:

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