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PaddockLad

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Everything posted by PaddockLad

  1. Cheers squire I think the current Mrs PL had it on her TiVo planner type wotsit.....he’s playing the home of Stockport County Edgely Park this summer around her birthday...am envisaging 20k elederly football hooligans & spouses drinking Strongbow for 12 hours in the Manchester drizzle
  2. “ O wad some power the gift tae gie us, tae see oorsels as ithers see us...”
  3. She’ll be around to lose the vote in the new year on her deal, then Dominic Greive dressed as a British army General jumps up in the commons and shouts “STOP IT, THIS IS SILLY” like Graham Chapman in Month Python and wins a commons motion on what is on the people’s vote ballot paper (staying in v Mays deal) and we’ll all live happily ever after
  4. Doesn’t change a thing really. She’ll plainly have to be dragged kicking and screaming from no. 10
  5. There’s a Tory mp called Alberto Costa....why didn’t I know that? https://twitter.com/AlbertoCostaMP
  6. I get that but hes had a new haircut and hes got a plan about withholding the 39mill till a free deal has agreed with Brussels. He means business this time
  7. John Pienaar said yes conceivably but it's very tight. If she's gone by tonight it makes no deal a whole lot more likely. Another take on the Tory beauty pageant if that does indeed happen.. If she wins and is annihilated in the new year on her deal in the commons vote on it then I have absolutely no id:lol:ea what will then happen. Standing by for CTs hot take on this scenario
  8. The French https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/dec/10/macron-pledges-to-raise-french-minimum-wage-gilet-jaunes-protests?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other Macron needs to man the fuck up....he needs to start paying off government debt by making poor people homeless like wot we does ere...
  9. Runners and riders.... https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-conservative-leader I’m going to indulge I think...
  10. I met Roger a couple of years back. Brolga who runs the sanctuary is just about the best human being I’ve ever met. For all Roger lovers his son Monty is his spitting image and is now the alpha male of the group. He, like his dad, also has gigantic bollocks. Unfortunately, I can’t find a picture of him/them. Whilst we were there Brolga said to us “ you guys from the UK?...do you know Chris Evans from the BBC? I”m just about to speak to him live in his radio show” I passed on my commiserations to him, he looked a bit non plussed when the (then &) current Mrs PL jabbed me in the ribs and hissed at me to shut the fuck up. Then after walking through the sunset surrounded by dozens of awakening kangaroos we headed back to the shed wear they keep the feed for the young orphans. We were then told to wait whilst Brolga and his staff checked for & chased out a couple of gigantic western brown snakes, apparently the most venomous reptiles on earth 🐍
  11. Haw-her-haw....mon dileu, Zut alors, sacre bleu etc etc...
  12. As soon as they got possession in their box he just broke out into a light jog. There no no guarantee the wolves lad was getting a shot away for Yedlns red iyam. Lascelles & Dubravka converging on him.
  13. Robert Peston this morning.. You may have thought the vote in Parliament on Tuesday night was an important moment and deadline for how and whether the UK leaves the European Union. I did. But I was wrong. Because tomorrow the prime minister may decide to pull the vote (which she can do pretty easily, I am told by a minister, because of the way the motion for the vote is worded). She will do that, her colleagues inform me, if she is facing defeat by the kind of colossal margin that would completely undermine confidence in her ability to govern - so more than 100 votes. And right now, the margin of her personal humiliation looks considerably greater than that. So what would it mean to pull the vote? Well there is zero chance of her securing the kind of concessions from EU leaders this week at the regular EU council meeting that could turn that scale of Commons defeat into victory. Sources in European capitals say the most EU government heads could offer would be some non-binding warm words about how they, like the prime minister, hope that the so-called backstop - so hated by Northern Ireland's DUP and Tory Brexiters - will never be implemented or will be of short duration. Such friendly and supportive words will not turn the DUP and Tory Brexiters from enemies of the Brexit plan to its supporters. All they care about is the legal text of the Withdrawal Agreement. And absent that being opened up and changed - which it won't be this week - they will continue to stand in implacable oppositions to her Brexit plan. So what can and will she do? Well - and please move away from the ledge (NOW!) - she could try to re-open negotiations with the EU in a more fundamental way over Christmas and in January. Because the hard deadline for her is in fact 21 January - which is when (under yet another successful Dominic Grieve initiative, enshrined in the EU Withdrawal Act), if there is no agreed deal, she is obliged to present a plan to parliament about what on earth she does next. Now it is possible that her own Tory Brexiter MPs will not tolerate her shelving the vote. They want her plan dead and dead now. So they may - finally - see any further prevarication as all the cause they need to try and oust her. That is the big risk for her, personally. If she is to keep them on side, she may have to claim that she has been converted to their cause (yes I know that seems implausible). One idea - put to me by a Whitehall rather than political source - is that she could tell the EU that unless the EU abandons the backstop, the UK would simply leave the EU on 29 March without a transition and via what is known as a hard Brexit, BUT that the UK would refrain from imposing any checks at its borders, either in the island of Ireland or at any of Great Britain's ports. This would call the EU's bluff: it would mean that if Brexit were to be chaotic and economically disastrous, and if the border in Ireland were to harden in a way that promoted crime and terrorism, that would be at the EU's discretion, not the UK's (it's not a million miles from the tough negotiating stance currently being used by the Swiss, in their attempt to ward off the EU trying to give a greater role to the European Court of Justice in adjudicating single-market disputes - but the Swiss have less to lose than the UK). This would he the ultimate in hardball negotiating, by May (so yes, implausible again). It would keep onside most of the Tory Brexiters. But it would probably alienate a majority in parliament, because of the risk that it could all go horribly, appallingly wrong (it could lead to a disastrous Brexit, and could also damage diplomatic relations between the UK and EU for years to come). The point, which you surely know by now, is that there is no Brexit available that doesn't alienate at least one constituency deemed important by the prime minister. She attempted a Brexit whose explicit aim was to reconcile irreconcilable groups (Brexiters and DUP on the one hand, Remainers on the other; the EU 27 and Brexit voters). That failed. Her negotiated plan is in the dustbin of history. To Brexit is to choose. May can duck her choice no longer (or at least not for very much longer!).
  14. Does what happens next week depend on the severity of the defeat for Mays deal on a Tuesday?... Less than 30 and apparently there may be a bit if wriggle room to go back to Brussels to try to renegotiate the backstop. If it’s calamitous she’s gone and then it will depend on who comes in. I think at this point, if UK democracy is to have any credibility in the future,it has to be someone very keen indeed on leaving. That may indeed mean, for the sake of the Torys keeping power at all costs and despite his unpopularity at Westminster, that utter cunt Johnson. If they fudge it though with a compromise like Javid then there will be a second referendum.At which point democracy becomes very poorly indeed, despite our belief that Brexit is fuckin madness. That’s not taking into account what MPs will do on the back of Dominic Greive’s amendment. I do think it’s best if we avoid another referendum. But now the ERG goons are back under their stones Gina Millers PV fusiliers can see their chance and like the ERG they won’t give up without a fight...
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