

ChezGiven
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Everything posted by ChezGiven
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Did you get over excited about this and not notice it was a review of the 7 Plus, not the 7S? Best review of the 7 has to be 'doesnt blow up'. Still getting announcements on flights saying dont turn on your Samsung
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Nicolas Jaar - Sirens. Very very good.
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Film/moving picture show you most recently watched
ChezGiven replied to Jimbo's topic in General Chat
Just encapsulates everything everyone says about you. One of the stupidest things you've ever said and that's saying something. I see you go on to argue that everyone knew there would be a crash. I actually was thinking about you today when discussing the distance between perception and reality and how much it is possible to shift that perception. What i didnt say was 'when you're dealing with idiots'. -
Coffee in the morning, green tea in the afternoon. I find the buzz off tea less manic and it avoids over doing the caffeine.
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I treat it functionally, put sugar in it and make it strong. This machine was €20 more than the normal ones. Not exactly a luxury item
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I calculated about 10 which is worth a lot in the morning to me as I hate getting up early.
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I bought a programmable coffee machine to partly address this. This was a game change when I have to get an early flight in the morning. Coffee ready when you wake up.
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http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-37474595
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Finally, just got to the conclusion, the most advanced and theoretically complex models are now clearly showing that when real interest rates are at the zero bound and there are no expectations of inflation, the multiplier on government spending is much higher than predicted by Keynes. These funky new models coming our of the brightest minds at Harvard, the Federal reserve etc are at the cutting edge of probabilistic economic modeling, exactly where a thinker like Keynes would be today if he were alive. If he was a non-conformist than standing against the orthodoxy of monetarism is where i'd bet he'd be today.
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Thats the wonder of the internet. Any cunt can post anything. No wonder people talk about 'the age of post-truth politics' as a thing.
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He is right about the Nazis and Hitler though and what better proof of the relevance of the economic model than transforming Germany into an economic super power in a decade. Am just getting to the depression in the UK being over by 35 (the jarrow march is in 36) and how the Americans needed the second world war to recover Fucking hell.
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Thats a load of shite. Keynesian ideas arent fixed by the publication of the general theory, scholars examine the history of economic policy going back way before 1936 and award Kenyes credit for his theory fitting not only historical patterns of economic activity but its predictive power too. Then that whole loads of bollocks you've just posted falls apart because when the writer says "But one of the great myths about Keynes is that when the Wall Street Crash sent shockwaves through the world economy in 1929, politicians seized on his ideas as a solution to the Depression. They did nothing of the sort." He is historically and factually so incorrect it makes me cringe as to think who could write it. There is economic policy thing. Called The New Deal. Its quite famous and anyone wirting that 'they did nothing of the sort' is an ill educated polemic spewing twat of the highest order. Have a read about it. Its filed under 'history of the great depression'. Keynes doesnt get credit for the New Deal, Keynes was writing from the perspective of the writings of the Cambridge school. Economists like Joan Robinson, Alfred Marsall and Arthur Pigou had been developing the 'demand management' theories of neoclassical economics for 20 years. Their ideas are imbued into the fabric of 30s economic policy. Keynes just brought it all together into the bestseller in 36.
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More new Bon Iver http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p0494bp3
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Is there a song that makes you cry / chokes you up?
ChezGiven replied to Christmas Tree 's topic in General Chat
Revelation of the decade this. We need photos. -
Is there a song that makes you cry / chokes you up?
ChezGiven replied to Christmas Tree 's topic in General Chat
You've got Wham! on again haven't you? -
120 albums? What sort of quality filter have you got on that list? Really like Ryley Walker for the one good song he puts on each of his albums, the full length listen tends to be tough to stick with. I think i have about 15 to 20 albums from this year i could listen to all the way through. Some masterpieces but not as much depth as last year. Anderson .paak and Chance the Rapper way out ahead (even if its not my preferred genre, no doubt the highest quality releases).
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Quite a few times as it happens.
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My boss is the spit of Trotsky. Similarity starts and ends there like.
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Well no you cant control the vote, which was why it was the financial market event of the year. They tried to but it didnt work. They can control the negotiation though, or at least bring their influence to bear in a much more constructive manner. I think we will too, cracking for the markets. Not for the voters of forgotten provincial english towns.
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Bottom line. You have naively discounted the most powerful people in the country getting what they want. There is a very simple and very clear trade off. Either the working class get what they want and there is the complete restriction on immigration. Or the banking and financial elite get what they want and trade is protected. None of the banking or financial outcomes of Brexit are anywhere close to happening, hence there is no need for them to exert their power just yet. Who do you think takes the fall in the former case? May and her party. In this scenario, there is a political opportunity.
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Cameron / Osbourne, the leaders, the party, the status quo. Whatever, you weren't predicting Cameron / Osbourne would be out of politics and you cant claim he wouldnt be standing for parliament when he clearly said he would in March of this year. https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/mar/10/david-cameron-intends-stand-re-election-mp-in-2020
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CT to return to your predictive powers, you were proclaiming he Cameron / Osbourne ticket was going to romp to victory at the next election. I can't be bothered to look for quotes so let's just agree you didn't predict they would both be out of politics before the end of year. So this sweeping certainty about what's going to happen is laughable given how clueless you were over the fate over your political super stars. Now in thinking about Brexit, I am looking at the Bloomberg article his morning on the £540bn London clearing market and counting the overall value of financial services at risk in the trillions. That amount of money will win in the negotiations and when push comes to shove the powerful vested interests in this country will secure what they want and need. At this point, May starts looking like Brown, her credibility goes as she won't deliver the simplistic Brexit that the old left voters wanted. In this case (simply described as 'vested interests retain their interest') there will be a lot of people voting against May's party in the next election as the 'we were duped' line will kill the incumbent leaders. Whether this translates into anything for Labour, I would share your doubts. However, the path that May is on is beset with massive political risks and her indecisive control freak nature may undo her dramatically within the next 3 years. You (personally) have to hope that Boris etc can step in to save the day. Or there will be huge political opportunities for the opposition. That's the bottom line - given the high risk political pathway for May's government, dismissing the opposition is naive and fails to grasp the mammoth repercussions that will come from the political decisions yet to be made.
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@@Meenzer http://www.standard.co.uk/news/world/tripadvisor-user-complains-of-being-outnumbered-by-too-many-gay-couples-at-hotel-in-gran-canaria-a3349871.html
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Aye I think I will pass on that. The message yesterday was 'last chance to get your lederhosen'. The group am going with are definitely not hipsters like, the German host is an Opera singer.