The Fish

That's a heck of a spin.

Victims of stalking ✅

I'm not jealous at all.

It's good to see grifters like him and Fox getting sued into bankruptcy, but it's baffling that yet more grifters are lining up behind them despite the warning signs being clear as fucking day.

Back off Paternity Leave now, aren't I?

Took them from 19th to 12th in about 10 games. You can see a downward trend in xGA, and and a nominal upward trend in xG across the season.

He hasn't scored a single goal from what I've arbitrarily deemed a 'Good Chance'. They're all either Penalties or <0.25 xG. Compare that to our top scorer

Ok, so a quick check and 38 of 52 (73%) Man Utd's goals come from chances valued at less than 0.35xG. Given a penalty is valued at 0.79xG I think it's safe to say that 0.35 counts as a half chance or worse. To go further, lets say any chance valued less than 0.1 is No Chance, 0.1-0.39 is a Half Chance, 0.39-0.79 is a Good Chance, and anything better than 0.79 is a Sitter By comparison, here's ours

Oh, will it scare off advertisers? More so than, say, bigotry and glamorising hooliganism?

Forest and Everton have 1 or 2 pretty straight forwards cases to answer for. Man City have over a hundred. @LondonBlue has posted about it before, but it seems that neither party are interested in a swift resolution and so that's why it's dragging on. Adjacent to that is the ridiculous timing of the points deductions and reinstatements. This should have been wrapped up in the summer, or by that weird half winter break thing we had. That way the teams around them know what they need to do. If this happens again next season, you could very well get a scenario where some bureaucrats relegate the team who finished 17th after the 18th placed side wins their appeal the week after the season ends. It's bullshit.

Feels weird to be fine with selling the clubs second most prolific PL striker, but here we are.

Completely unimportant, but I've never understood why people post in faux-swears. Fugging, fecking and the like, unless it's to mock the potato botherers. Fuck off.

Bournemouth have quietly improved throughout the season.

-CT Has left the Chat-

xG and xPts are just a way to represent the quality of chances made and allowed. What they show is that if one team is high up the table despite allowing more good chances than they make, that team's position is unsustainable. You mention Villa, they can only play that risky style effectively when Martinez is fit. So if he gets injured midgame, the wise and informed observer would do well to cash out before the inevitable collapse xG doesn't tell the whole story, it can't. But it can give you insight without having to pore over hours of another team's games. The point of xG isn't to consider the quality of the player, his fatigue or anything like that. It's deliberately averaging out everyone from Beto to Batistuta. to give you a baseline from which you can judge a player (or a team). Only the bottom 3 and West Ham give up more chances, the former are because they're not very good, the latter because they choose to play a counter-attack style which by it's very nature invites possession and opportunities around the West Ham box. Man Utd are bottom half for chances created too (behind the likes of Brentford and Everton.) Those two stats point to a problem with their style, it says to me that they're overreliant on their goalkeeper making unlikely saves, and over reliant on their outfield players scoring from unlikely chances. Their game against Liverpool e.g. they scored twice from 0.81xG and yet only conceded twice from 4.43xGA. Run that game 1000 times and Liverpool comfortably win it 900 times. I can't be arsed to do it right now, but I'd like to see, for each of Man Utd's goals, what value was given to the chance. I'd be pretty confident that they're scoring when they've no right to.

Morale is through the floor. Apparently on of Jimmy's first acts was to send an email round telling all the departments that they're in a shit state and need to sort it out. He said that after monitoring it was noticed that emails were down 25% on Fridays, so that must mean the staff are 25% less productive on a Friday. According to this lad, plenty of people are 'looking for new opportunities'.

That is Ten Hag's only tactic. If they drop points against Palace and Arsenal they'll be on 56pts max. Arsenal are still fighting for the title. Palace are still fighting to reclaim the league position they see as their own; 12th.

Pipe down, Longbenton Entrance.

Well, his first name is James. Bit of an odd one, but nice enough.

It'll be decided at the game at Old Trafford. Mark my words. FUCKING MARK THEM, YOU TOILET!

Plus they rolled out the black and white carpet for us when we got promoted.

Makes Sheffield's defensive record look even worse

I agree with most of this. But I'd only sell Longstaff and Almiron if we got big bids for them. They have value as squad players that would be expensive to replace. Take Almiron for example, how much would we need to spend on a PL quality right winger? Barnes and Gordon were both c£40m. There's no guarantee that Minteh is ready for the PL, especially at the level we are aiming for. And playing Barnes or Gordon on the right is playing them out of position. I'd want Silly Saudi money for him. Speaking of sales, everyone is saying that if need to sell it'll be Bruno or Isak. But, what about Barnes or Gordon? We'd get big money for either of them and we've got the other as a ready replacement.