The Fish

I like this stat. Seen something similar with goal kicks too.

With a name like that, I can't imagine there'd be too many copycat killers.

Could always take some gardening advice from Fred West?

and brass in bin bags

I like that he offers a different type of midfield role than Longstaff and Joelinton do. He drives with the ball more directly than either of them, he's got a better finisha dn more close control too. Longstaff is better sitting a little deeper, doing the defensive work and being the player that arrives late, rather than spearheading an attack. Joelinton is pure physicality, dominant in the challenge, disruptive with his pressing, his control has improved and has an engine that just doesn't stop running. Different round pegs for that round hole ahead of Bruno. Be interesting to see what his ceiling actually is.

I'd definitely wear either of those jumpers, and look good doing it.

Be snappy.

It was irresistible, and I won't apologise.

Be Happy?

Don't worry.

I got the odds from Betfair, not Betfair exchange. So it's the odds worked out by the company, and as such it'll be based on metrics, and of course the monies usually placed on a particular team (e.g. Liverpool and Man Utd have huge amounts put on their games so they stretch the odds a bit more).

You know how it's widley accepted that Brighton are a well run club, Brentford too. I'm sure if De Zerbi fucks up Brighton will already have a short list of replacements. Managers who play a sufficiently similar style, so that the playing staff don't need to be overhauled, the coaches don't have to be replaced wholesale. Why don't more clubs look at their approach and make similar decisions? This appointment is a rush decision, a backwards step. When they appointed Vieira why didn't they have a list of similar coaches in mind should it not work out? If our lot have anything about them, they'll have a list of coaches that can replace Howe, even though he's doing really well. It's just poor planning. Still think they'll stay up though, still think they'll need to replace Hodgson pretty damn quick.

Absolutely, doesn't take a new manager's impact into account, nor like you say injuries and suspensions. It's just one of those "All things being equal this is what we expect"... things.

Only has a year left on his contract, has said he wants to leave, rumours have him around £35m.

There are better defensive midfielders than McTominay, cheaper too. We could get Milinkovic Savic for c£35m, how much would Scotty Boy cost? £50m? More? I know Savic is a couple of years older, but the difference in quality is stark.

Nah, no chance. Too many teams in the mix and Hodgson will very quickly get their defence in shape, rely on Zaha, Eze to score the goals in 1-0 wins.

Probably mean they'll stay up, but it's not a great bit of strategising from their owners. They'll need to replace him next season if they're to kick on, right?

I don't know how it's modelled, but it's not as simple as the wisdom of crowds. They do use performance metrics and the like to inform their decision, then obviously the betting markets will be adjusted to account for bets placed and stuff. fivethirtyeight uses performance metrics to assign a value to each team and then, based on one team's strength vs the others, work out their expected return from the remaining games. Run that simulation many times to get a probability.

Betfair has Man Utd 1/10 and us 1/1 to finish top four. Liverpool and Spurs 9/5 and 23/1 respectively.

It's like the minute things are going their way they convince themselves it's all part of the plan, when things go wrong it's because there is no plan. When things were going well for us under Benitez it's because we could see the work he was doing on the shape, on the system. When Bruce was getting a similar points haul it was despite a lack of tactics. We could see that so we didn't throw our cocks around. There just seem to be any critical thinking over there. A PR person's in charge, that's brilliant! Why, why is it brilliant to have someone in charge who's remit is to alter your perception of reality? We've got a young owner with access to a lot of money! Do you? Have you really thought about it? This process is going brilliantly! What process? If they were like Brighton and Brentford then they'd deserve credit, but just like every other middling second tier side. Some good kids on loan, maybe one or two better than average players for that league, but plenty just filling a shirt and a manager who's got experience. Take that team and that manager and dump them in Stoke shirts and nobody would bat an eye. You want a process, have a look at Burnley, Sheffield United, Swansea. They score highly on the "Fair Game Sustainability Index".

He is, but only on the pitch. He looks a right sweetheart off it. Not like Shelvey who looks like a surly teenager being forced to play football when really he wants to be hanging out with his mates drinking white lightning in the park and setting fire to Lynx cans.

When we moved into this house 4 and a bit years ago, every night there was this indiscernible shouting outside about 7:30pm that would go on for about 10 minutes. Me and the Mrs would peer out the window to try and figure it out, but we never worked out what was going on. Finally one night I'm heading out for beer because I'm such a bloody bloke and I see this lad with Downs Syndrome, headphones on, shouting/singing into a hand held microphone presumably on his way home. Everybody's reaction to Ritchie in that video makes me think of the street's reaction to the shouty lad, just accept it as him being him.

They've got loads out injured. Henderson (GK), McKenna (CB), Boly (CB), Awoniyi (FW), Kouyate (DM), Scarpa (CM). Plus Wood (FW) is ineligible, Johnson (FW) has a small chance of playing, ditto Niakhate (CB), Yates (DM).