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Everything posted by Gemmill
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And all of the above is with 66 points as the bar set for these teams to get over. Which is pretty low. If we went even 2 points better than that, these teams start to need to come up with Hollywood heroics to get past us.
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Looking at the CL run in... I reckon 66 points will probably be enough, so only 7 more needed. For it not to be enough, one of these things needs to happen: Spurs: 14 points from 6. Villa: 16 points from 6. Liverpool: 17 points from 7. Brighton: 18 points from 9. Of those, Brighton are probably the most likely but they've got really tough fixtures. Which is another point - all of the above will be cannibalising points from one another. You've got: Aston Villa v Brighton Villa v Spurs Liverpool v Villa Liverpool v Spurs So those are all the games where they'll be getting in one another's way for the CL points. Then you've just got the hard fixtures that these teams have got: Newcastle v Brighton Brighton v Man United Arsenal v Brighton Brighton v Man City Spurs v Man United Man United v Villa And look how many times Man United turn up in that list - if we're worrying about one of the above teams, then there's a good chance it'll be at the expense of Man United's top 4 hopes rather than ours. So aye, 7 points to go. This might be done with games to spare.
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Brighton and Liverpool can stick their percentages up their arses.
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I'm boring the tits off myself staring at the league table and trying to come up with scenarios where we don't get Champions League. I'm struggling. Brighton in 8th genuinely look to be the ones with the best chance. From 8th. And honestly, it feels more likely they knock Man United out the top 4 than us.
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That Athletic article BTW. About how Saudi money is ruining Spurs's dreams. Yeah, well it was Jacob Murphy and Joelinton that had you 3 nil down in 8 minutes, with two assists from Fabian Schar, so stick that up your kazoo Mr Jack Pitt-Brooke.
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Redknapp: "Pass of the season. De Bruyne, Odegaard... No one has made a better pass than that from Joe Willock". I don't care for Sky hyperbole usually, but when it's about us they can say whatever the fuck they like.
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