Gemmill

He'd probably defect to the Tories and become leader.

Poll was from January. https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/the-poll-that-could-push-nigel-farage-back-into-politics-7jfm0djzp

Apparently Aron Banks commissioned a poll for this specific scenario recently - Farage running in Clacton - and it showed him winning comfortably.

Thinking about it, it would be a bit odd to call a press conference to formally announce a deal. It would make more sense for them to just do something behind closed doors - makes Sunak look even weaker if Farage announces it, but then those are exactly the sort of terms Farage would demand. Let's just hope it's him standing and Reform really going for it.

It potentially significantly changes the result though. I'm a bit worried about this now.

Farage thing could also be them announcing a grubby deal with the Tories but I really hope not. Everything he's said so far would suggest it won't be that though.

Very bad news for the Tories if this is right.

Badenoch's gender equality nonsense this morning probably gives the game away on another attack line in tomorrow night's debate. Especially given she spent the morning completely flummoxed and unable to explain how any of it would work. Obviously they've not been doing their research or they'd realised that NOBODY gives a fuck. See bottom of the list of issues, two spots below "other".

Aye he's gone after him for it repeatedly at PMQs. He knows the rule and he knows what he's doing, but he unfortunately just doesn't care.

Also, he's almost certainly gonna claim that Starmer voluntarily defended terrorists as a barrister etc. He's gonna be absolutely flailing to try and instigate a change in the polls.

I think they're gonna go after Sunak at the debate on this. Possibly pre emotive in case he starts with wild shit about Savile, which absolutely isn't beneath him.

Too easy.

Aye the birds get going at about 4am now and I'm a canny light sleeper so up at 4:30. Sat watching Blair and Brown: The New Labour Revolution on iplayer now.

It's all Dortmund so far. Still expect Real to win.

Labour's lead with Opinium has grown 6% in the first week of the campaign. It was 14% this time last week.

That is genuinely mind blowing that they've made that goal of the tournament. It's just a breakaway goal and he looks like he scuffs the finish too. If Plymouth Argyle score that goal, it's not even getting in the top 50.

I think this is gonna do for him.

Freedman has just signed a new contract with Palace. Hope they enjoy paying Palace additional compensation thanks to our interest in him.

Tories supposedly plotting inheritance tax cut and trying to get a Rwanda flight away before the election to try and sway the polls, the fucking hopeless twats.

Sunak's looks like he's about to get the fuck kicked out of him by the Why Don't You? gang.

I think GB News have done a separate one which gives the Tories 72 seats.