Gemmill

It was like that with Labour colours at the start of the weekend. They'll take anyone's money.

It sounds like it was DCL's wage demands that scuppered his move here, the cheeky permanently injured clown.

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5599305/2024/07/01/newcastle-psr-player-sales?source=user-shared-article We were over £50m short on PSR according to this article by Waugh. At over 150% of the allowable loss, I'm not sure a 10 point deduction sounds all that daft. We would have had very little to argue in terms of mitigation. Worth reading the article though.

Edwards won't have a clue. He's just lumping it in with the other deals for convenience.

I reckon it'll probably be about £5m. I think it's a mistake that we've allowed him to start there for this window, particularly given we don't yet have a replacement. But I hope he's an absolute disaster there. He'll be there long term, you'd think, so Man United will be the first club that actually find out whether he's any good at his job.

The thing that makes me think he might turn out good is that he's gone to Brighton. When he was going to Everton, I was confident he'd turn out shit and find himself playing in the Championship sometime soon.

Welcome on board mate. 👍

Going all out for this LOTO.

Not if Labour have lost some votes to Reform, might cost them the odd seat in the Red Wall or something like that. I'd love to see the Tories obliterated to the extent that Davey is LOTO, but it just seems too much to hope for.

Ratcliffe has got his rat.

Right, so the second round of voting is expected to result in a load of three way runoff, possibly in as man as 315 of the 577 seats. This would be between Le Pen, the far left party, and Macron's party. So Macron and the far left could either stand down candidates in the run-offs, or encourage their voters to side with the other lot to block Le Pen from achieving a majority. Loads of caveats cos the two parties that are now being expected to work together actually despise one another, AND it's actually the far left and not Macron's lot that came second in the first round, and are therefore in the ascendancy. So they might just think, actually we'll take our 160+ seats that we're projected to win, and just let this play out without any deals.

https://open.substack.com/pub/dividinglines/p/into-injury-time?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=172gw This is decent. Dismantled a Tory broadcast where they tried to link the current choice facing voters to football..... and failed spectacularly.

I think there might be some Con 19 - > Labour switchers who switch to Reform at the last minute. I follow all the gimps who delve into the data tables when polls come out, and so far the vast majority of the drop in the Tory vote share has gone to reform, and the vast majority of the drop in Labour vote share is being attributed to tactical voting. But the last couple of days they've started second guessing themselves and wondering about Lab to Reform - they reckon it's small, but it might be there. We'll know soon enough!

I reckon if there's gonna be a surprise of the night, it might be that Reform end up with a higher vote share than we're all expecting. I don't think it'll do much for them in terms of seats, but if there's Russian money pushing them in certain parts of the Internet that we won't see, I wouldn't be surprised if there's a bit of a Brexit effect where there's a last minute bloat in their vote.

They're obviously worried about it, cos he's skipped all the hustings so far, then at the back end of last week his team requested a behind closed doors hustings, then pulled the request - presumably cos they realised they'd look weak - after other parties had agreed.

If I was him btw, I'd resign on Friday. I wouldn't listen to any of this shit about he needs to do 6 months for the good of the party, etc. The party has been on manoeuvres against him since he got the job, I think he owes them fuck all. I'd be off to my mansion and my pool in California, flying this Saturday. This is assuming that the voters in his constituency don't make the decision for him, which would be sensational.

I don't know why I put myself through it but I've just watched Sunak on Laura K. The bloke is clearly knackered and sick of criticism of everything he does, but as a result he's completely forgotten how to behave under challenge. Aggressive, snippy, misquoting the question and getting angry about it, this whiny voice like a kid arguing with his parents. He's absolutely embarrassing himself at this stage. I bet Thursday can't come soon enough for him.

Some chat about Macron's party and the far left party (who came second) coming up with some sort of arrangement before the second round. I don't understand how French politics works, so don't know how they would do it, but hopefully they can sort something.

Wait til tomorrow....

Palmer won't even get on as a sub next week after not taking that into the corner.

BOOM! BODYCHECK!

Get Kane off now btw. He's clearly not fit, and making him do 120 minutes is not gonna help.

My main concern now. It looked a proper jar on his knee.