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Everything posted by Rayvin
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This is where I have been for the past day now. I really think he can get a deal through. The Labour rebels too..
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I'm concerned, but then I was always going to be with the prospect of a deal. He's going to pitch this as some kind of fucking compromise. If Brexit was on a scale of 0 to 100 with 0 as remain and 100 as no deal, I have the sense that he's going to come back with a 97 and try to pretend that it's a 52. And the 52 will think that it is.
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That is beyond painful.
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In what sense is working at Nissan not a proper job?
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The fucking stupid thing about that is that if Nissan goes, Sunderland becomes an even more impoverished shit hole than it already is, and those leave voters become more angry, and more prone to nationalistic fervour. Anything to make them feel better about themselves. So as much as it might be satisfying to watch the silly bastards burn in the flames of their own choices, it's not really good for the country long term because they lack the emotional responsibility to take ownership of their mistakes.
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Part of me wonders if Trump putting the whims of one US citizen over that of justice and his country's relationship with a long term ally may encourage the people who think that we're going to get some kind of awesome US trade deal that we're really just going to be shat upon from a great height. But it probably won't.
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Tbf that's Brexit supporters in a nutshell.
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I get the feeling that Hammond is a bit of a political introvert but you're right.
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I mean yes - I think on here at least we're pretty consistent on an election not solving anything. For me it needs to be a referendum. But an election solves nothing - it will be a remainer parliament with a Brexit government, once again (if the polls are anything to go by)
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If this is true, Johnson is fucked. So I think he's lying - unless he can somehow still manage to keep Farage on board so that they don't cannibalise each other.
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I suspect he's going to resign tbh, possibly off the back of his Queen's Speech being voted down, thus opening up the trap for Labour to walk into. If he does, the GE needs to happen later rather than sooner, and a people's vote needs to occur first. But Labour will take the bait.
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I agree on that tbf, but I am curious as to what it is they think they can do. I remain more concerned about a deal happening than anything else. Was always the real danger.
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He's clearly got some kind of gambit. Sounds a little like it could be to try to override the legitimacy of Parliament with the legitimacy of the referendum. And it's great that the DUP have rejected it but once Johnson gets hold of them I'm less sure they'll resist.
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In fact it could potentially get through. The Tory rebels would be back onside. Along with the Labour rebels.. I think we might be fucked if they offer this.
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In which case its actually the first irritating thing the EU have done. It legitimizes Johnson's approach by making it look like he's achieved something with his No Deal threat, and pushes the "blame" onto a remainer parliament.
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Bruce's Cabbage Patch Kids V A Wee Small Club In Manchester
Rayvin replied to trooper's topic in Newcastle Forum
I'm not saying it would be more fun. I'm saying that it's only marginally less fun. If fun is indeed the right word. I'm saying that the risk is very slender for me because the margins of enjoyment are so fine. Look, if all you need is your weekly kick of excitement to get the blood going and you could care less about the wider direction the club is taking then fair enough. But for me, the former isn't enough. So I don't care if we're beating Man Utd on occasion, with the slim exception that a young local lad scored and that this is always nice to see, because the overall lack of direction makes it impossible for me to emotionally commit to any of this. I can't take it anymore, I'd rather see us go down and hope that if we languish long enough, it'll force him out. I didn't care that we beat Spurs. I didn't really care that we beat Man Utd. I mean a few years ago I would have been jumping up and down around my living room even with the club owned by Ashley, but now it's gone. So it's not that I want us relegated because we'll win more, it's not that I think it's good for the club in general, it's that I think it's literally the only way that Ashley will ever go, and that I can't enjoy this football club properly until he has. And really, for me, it's because this club isn't on a journey to anywhere. It's at its endpoint under Ashley. This is the destination. This is all there is. -
That is shameful. I'm absolutely embarrassed for this country. Yet again.
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So it looks like "the Don" has kept Ross on board for the past few weeks as a fallback if the takeover fell through. Basically, he was kept around so that he could be sacked the moment the shit hit the fan in the notion that it might go some way to placating the fanbase. Fucking ouch Basket case of a club.
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I wonder if they'd take Bruce off our hands. He's about their level atm in all seriousness.
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Bruce's Cabbage Patch Kids V A Wee Small Club In Manchester
Rayvin replied to trooper's topic in Newcastle Forum
Hmm. I suppose that is the other way to look at it. I could actually kind of get behind him coming out and saying his plan is to pay off that fucking debt and thus lower the asking price the the club. It means any bid in the £300m range immediately becomes a much bigger win for him since he isn't also using that to pay off £100m of debt. If that was the plan, and he was clear about it, then fine. I could handle plodding along pointlessly in the PL for a few more years. But he's not made it clear at any point that this is something he really wants to happen. -
Bruce's Cabbage Patch Kids V A Wee Small Club In Manchester
Rayvin replied to trooper's topic in Newcastle Forum
More quickly than what? Cos it looks like he's here forever at this rate. I think 3 years in the Championship mid-table would do it. Parachute payments run out, level of investment required to push us back is extreme. So the question in my mind is would I prefer to spend the next 3 years 14th to 17th in the PL with no hope of progress, the whole concept of supporting the club reduced to simply the enjoyment you can get out of a single match at a time rather than any bigger picture - or would I prefer to spend the next 3 years in the championship with an elevated chance that Ashley might fuck off at the end of it. It's easy for me. Even with the risk that he doesn't sell after 3 years, so what? You still get the enjoyment from a single match at a time and an otherwise non-existent bigger picture in the championship. We've lost basically nothing more than the occasional, inexplicable victory over "big clubs". Also, even if he does stay after the 3 years, it'll be fucking painful for him. Which is a plus. -
I think we might well be near the bottom depending on how things go from here. If the remain wing are playing this right then we end up at a second referendum and I genuinely think this whole fiasco gets knocked on the head, Britain does a bit of diplomatic courtship, and we move on. The EU isn't exactly unaware of why this has happened, or indeed blind to the fact that it's actually very much a "there but for the grace of god" situation. The EU has reacted firmly, I believe, because it no longer suits their interests to pull punches on Johnson. But if we get to the point where another UK government is formed then I think the situation can be salvaged. No one wants a feud, and this has largely been a British fiasco that occasionally spills onto the EU's doorstep so far. Granted it won't remain that way if it goes through, but for now I don't think there is too much reason for us to believe that lasting damage has been done (in terms of relationships - in terms of global standing it's been a lasting damage from the word go).
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It's also only really a risk because there's a chance Johnson could do something illegal. But Parliament still have a last minute revoke in their arsenal should they choose to use it.
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Legally he has to get that extension though. And we're talking about No Deal now or later at this point. Removing him from power doesn't guarantee that we don't end up right back here with a hard right wing government off the back of "the people" feeling like their "will" has been frustrated. Letting the Benn act play out means Johnson loses credibility with the electorate and potentially ends up strangled by the Brexit Party in any subsequent election. Taking him out now and replacing him with a GNU looks like a coup, and IMO is actually what he wants.